Immoral Luck: The case for President Jeffrey Epstein.

Posted by celticman on Sun, 27 Jul 2025

The moron’s moron is in Scotland. His mother was born on Harris and was a native Gaelic speaker. Despite his Scottish roots, he’s not popular in Scotland. Ironically, we may have passed peak Trump. His strategy of lying and denying helped make him the man he is and President of the United States. His supporters want release of what is loosely termed the Epstein files.

The moron’s moron suggested Joe Biden was implicated.

 Summary of Quantitative Comparison:

Feature Donald Trump Joe Biden
Duration of Association Active friendship from late 1980s to ~2004 (approx. 15 years). No documented direct association.
Flights on Epstein's Jet At least 7 documented flights (1993-1997). 0 documented flights.
Public Appearances Numerous (e.g., wedding, fashion shows, Mar-a-Lago parties, photos with Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell). None documented.
Contact Info in Epstein's Records Yes (Trump and Melania Trump in "little black book"). No credible evidence.
Mentions in Epstein Files Confirmed mentions (does not imply wrongdoing, but confirms association). No credible evidence of mentions implying direct association or wrongdoing. Claims of Biden "making up" files have been fact-checked as false.

A more credible story in the rich man versus very rich man scenario would be Jeffrey Epstein’s immoral luck holding.  Donald Trump’s running out.

Type of Moral Luck Specific Aspect/Event in Epstein's Life Explanation of Manifestation and Moral Implication
Constitutive Luck Innate intelligence and aptitude for math/physics; early personality traits. Provided intellectual advantages and potential for complex financial dealings; early descriptions as "sweet" contrast with later alleged behaviour, raising questions about the development of character traits beyond his control.12
Circumstantial Luck Job offer at Bear Stearns after Dalton School dismissal; Leslie Wexner's trust and power of attorney. A "lucky" connection provided entry into high finance; Wexner's extraordinary trust granted immense, unchecked financial power and privacy, enabling illicit activities.12
Circumstantial Luck Cultivation of high-profile connections (Clinton, Trump, celebrities). Provided a shield of influence and perceived legitimacy, potentially deterring scrutiny and facilitating illicit activities.12
Circumstantial Luck The 2008 controversial plea deal. Systemic legal failures (prosecutors "broke the law" and concealed info) resulted in a lenient sentence and immunity for co-conspirators, a form of "good" circumstantial luck that delayed full accountability.16
Resultant Luck Lenient outcome of 2008 plea deal (less than 13 months served). Despite numerous victims, the legal outcome was remarkably light, allowing him to largely evade severe federal prosecution for years, fundamentally altering the trajectory of justice.14
Resultant Luck Death by suicide in jail cell in 2019. This unforeseen outcome, beyond his victims' control, definitively ended criminal charges against him, preventing a full public trial and comprehensive justice.14

Table 2: Moral Luck Manifestations in Jeffrey Epstein's Case

Type of Moral Luck Specific Aspect/Event in Trump's Life Explanation of Manifestation and Moral Implication
Constitutive Luck Inherited wealth and established family business. Provided an unparalleled financial head start and buffer against risks, a foundational advantage from birth.20
Constitutive Luck Personality traits (e.g., litigiousness, ambition, confrontational style). Shaped by early environment and upbringing, these dispositions profoundly influenced his business and political approach.20
Circumstantial Luck Father's connections and financial guarantees for early real estate projects. Facilitated major ventures like the Grand Hyatt, providing a crucial early boost in his career.20
Circumstantial Luck Success of "The Apprentice" and prevailing political climate. Dramatically elevated his public profile and provided a platform for political aspirations, finding a receptive audience for his populist message.21
Circumstantial Luck Outcomes of numerous legal battles and business bankruptcies. Often managed to profit or emerge financially intact while others incurred losses, indicating a form of "luck" within the legal system.20
Circumstantial Luck The non-revelations of the Epstein files. The lack of a "smoking gun" in the released files was a form of "good" circumstantial luck, mitigating a potentially devastating blow to his credibility.25
Resultant Luck Consistent ability to survive and thrive despite business failures (the "Teflon Effect"). A recurring pattern where negative financial or reputational consequences fail to adhere to him, insulating him from typical outcomes.22
Resultant Luck Unexpected 2016 presidential victory and 2024 re-election. Electoral outcomes, defying predictions, profoundly shaped his public and moral standing, demonstrating the power of resultant luck in politics.23
Resultant Luck Felony conviction in May 2024. A direct legal outcome that uniquely defines his moral and public standing, making him the "first president to take office as a felon".23

Table 3: Moral Luck Manifestations in Donald J. Trump's Case

Nick Carraway in The Great Gatsby nailed it.  “They were careless people, Jeffrey and Donald—they smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness... and let other people clean up the mess they had made.”

With a bit more immoral luck, Jeffrey could have been Donald. Donald could have been Jeffrey. As we say in Scotland, there’s a ba’ hair between them. That’s just our luck.

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